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Morning Call about UBL and PSMC 1QCY12 – Arif Habib Limited

Karachi: UBL: Profitability to rise by 27% YoY in 1QCY12

United Bank Limited (UBL) board meeting is scheduled for April 26, 2012 to consider bank’s 1QCY12 results.

According to Arif Habib Limited expects the bank to post net income of PKR 4,155mn (EPS: PKR 3.39) in 1QCY12 compared to PKR 3,273mn (EPS: PKR 2.67) in the corresponding period last year, depicting a 27% YoY growth. UBL’s net interest income is anticipated to augment by 7% YoY to PKR 9,735mn as average earning assets show a stellar growth primarily through investments, which has grown by 30% in CY11. The bank’s provision is expected to contract by 39% YoY as growth in NPLs is expected to further slowdown after augmenting by 5% in CY11. The non-funded income Arif Habib Limited estimates will likely show a 12% YoY growth to PKR 3,360mn and operating income is expected to augment by 15% YoY.

Financial Highlights (PKRmn) 1QCY12 1QCY11 YoY
Mark-up/ return/ Interest earned 17,745 16,702 6.2%
Mark-up/ return/ Interest expense 8,010 7,597 5.4%
Net mark-up/ Interest Income 9,735 9,105 6.9%
Total Provisions 1,425 2,339 -39.1%
Total Non Mark-up/ Interest Income 3,360 3,009 11.7%
Operating Cost 5,464 4,763 14.7%
Profit before Tax 6,206 5,012 23.8%
Tax 2,051 1,739 17.9%
Net income 4,155 3,273 27.0%
EPS 3.39 2.67  
Source: Company Accounts and AHL Research      

PSMC: Profitability to continue on upward trajectory

The Board of Directors of Pak Suzuki Motor Company Limited (PSMC) is scheduled to meet on April 26, 2012 to approve the financial results for 1QCY12. Arif Habib Limited expects the company to earn profit after tax (PAT) of PKR 387mn (EPS: PKR 4.70) in 1QFY12, representing a 4.2x YoY jump from 1QCY11’s PAT of PKR 91mn (EPS: 1.11). Arif Habib Limited believes this increase in profitability is primarily due to an estimated 47% YoY improvement in the Company’s top-line to PKR 18.5bn, brought about by a 31% YoY growth in sales volume to 30,642 units and a 9% YoY hike in prices. Gross profit of the Company in 1QCY12 is expected to be around PKR 760mn, translating into a gross margin of 4.2%, as compared to 2.9% in the preceding quarter and 2.7% in the corresponding period last year.

Financial Highlights (PKR million) 1QCY12 1QCY11 YoY
Sales 18,529 12,570 47%
Cost of sales 17,769 12,227 45%
Gross profit 760 343 122%
Operating expenses 364 233 56%
Finance cost 4 5 -3%
Profit before tax 595 220 170%
Profit after tax 387 91 323%
EPS (PKR) 4.70 1.11  
Source: Company Accounts and AHL Estimates

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