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Morning Call about Results Preview – Arif Habib Limited

Karachi, October 24, 2012 (PPI-OT): NPL and PSMC

NPL; Earnings are likely to register a 27% YoY increase

Nishat Power Limited’s (NPL) board of directors is scheduled to approve and announce its 1QFY13 financial results on October 25, 2012.

According to Arif Habib Limited expects the company’s profit after tax to clock in at PKR 548 million (EPS: PKR 1.55), compared with PKR 431 million (EPS: PKR 1.22) in 1QFY12, depicting a 27% YoY increase. This growth is anticipated on the back of 13% YoY lower finance cost, as recovery from overdue receivables is supposed to ease off heavy short term borrowings. NEPRA’s data indicate that the company operated at a load factor of 62% in July 2012, forming the basis of Arif Habib Limited’s 65% load factor assumption in 1QFY13.

Financial Highlights
PKR million 1QFY13E 1QFY12 YoY 4QFY12 QoQ
Sales

5,460

6,264

-13%

5,396

1%

Cost of Sales

4,254

5,071

-16%

4,104

4%

Gross Profit

1,206

1,193

1%

1,292

-7%

Administrative Expenses

22

20

11%

20

9%

Other Operating Income

16

6

188%

25

-36%

Profit from Operations

1,200

1,179

2%

1,297

-8%

Finance Cost

651

746

-13%

696

-6%

Profit before taxation

548

433

27%

601

-9%

Profit after taxation

548

431

27%

613

-11%

Earning per share (PKR)

1.55

1.22

27%

1.73

-11%

Source: AHL Research          

PSMC; Earnings expected to lower by 57% QoQ

The Board of Directors of Pak Suzuki Motor Company Limited (PSMC) is scheduled to meet on October 25, 2012 to approve the financial results for 3QCY12. Arif Habib Limited expects the company to earn profit after tax (PAT) of PKR 338 million (EPS: PKR 4.10) in 3QCY12, decline of 57% QoQ. The decrease in profitability is primarily due to 1) 33% QoQ decline in sales volume to 17,659 units, which leads to 37% QoQ decline in the company’s top-line to PKR 11 billion 2) Gross margin dropped by 129 bps and stood at 5.9%, this was on account of cost burden of Euro-II compliance and impressive sales volume in 2QCY12 due to expected discontinuation of factory fitted CNG vehicles and Punjab government taxi scheme, under which 20,000 units were delivered to government of Punjab which reduces fixed cost 3) Discontinuation of Alto which comprises approximately 16% of total sales 4) Strong competition from imported Japanese cars to economy segment (1000 cc and lower) which is company’s primary target market for sales.

Financial Highlights (PKR million)
  3QCY12E 2QCY12A QoQ 9MCY12E 9MCY11A YoY
Sales

11,114

17,707

-37%

47,585

38,549

23%

Cost of sales

10,458

16,433

-36%

44,677

37,090

20%

Gross profit

656

1,273

-49%

2,908

1,458

99%

Distribution and

admin. Costs

264

322

-18%

840

722

16%

Other income

166

206

-19%

498

464

7%

Finance cost

5

2    98%

11

13

-15%

Profit before tax

519

1,075

-52%

2,383

1,100

117%

Taxation

182

294

-38%

676

429

58%

Profit after tax

338

781

-57%

1,707

672

154%

Earning per share

4.10

9.48

20.74

8.16

Source: Company financials and AHL Research

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